How many evangelists

Other Nondenominational Evangelical Trad. Nondenominational Pentecostal Evangelical Trad. Restorationist Family Evangelical Trad. Congregationalist Family Evangelical Trad. Holiness Family Evangelical Trad.

Reformed Family Evangelical Trad. Adventist Family Evangelical Trad. Anabaptist Family Evangelical Trad. Our community brings together Reformed, Holiness, Anabaptist, Pentecostal, Charismatic and other traditions. Historian David Bebbington also provides a helpful summary of evangelical distinctives, identifying four primary characteristics of evangelicalism:. These distinctives and theological convictions define us — not political, social or cultural trends.

Evangelicals are a common subject of research, but often the outcomes of that research vary due to differences in the methods used to identify evangelicals. In response to that challenge, the NAE and LifeWay Research developed a tool to provide a consistent standard for identification of evangelical belief. However, these effects exist even when controlling for age and residence in a rural county. Thus, I expect the gap is driven more by religion presenting a partisan cleavage among a minority of Democrats in the swing state.

Models limited to the white unaffiliated voters in the Elon Poll sample reveal the greatest potential for evangelical identification to aid Republican candidates: by influencing swing voters in swing states. The difference was statistically insignificant only for views on the economy. Being an evangelical helps to fortify the issue alignment between the Republican Party and their base of Republican voters, especially on abortion.

However, evangelical identity has an even more important role among voters outside of the Republican partisan base. Evangelical identity has its largest and most electorally relevant impact by encouraging issue alignment between unaffiliated voters and the Republican Party orthodoxy.

Even among white registered Democrats, being an evangelical moves the needle at the margins for the Republican Party, at least enough to secure a small percentage of votes with potential to change the outcome of close elections. Though President Trump is a candidate whose personal behavior has often been at odds with the values espoused by many evangelicals, any potential path he has to remain in the White House after January 20, must pass between the pews of white evangelical churches.

In turn, Democratic Party leaders have opportunities to interrupt that passage by paying attention to evangelicals, especially unaffiliated evangelicals persuadable to add their votes to the Democratic coalition.

Think again—election month might be more like it Elaine Kamarck Tuesday, August 4, Christian, Muslim, Jewish, etc. Most election polls and exit surveys rely on this simple approach, despite it having some potential for misclassification. The American National Election Study and other organizations use a better, but much more costly and time-consuming approach that codes respondents based on a series of questions identifying a specific denomination.

The impact of white evangelicals on party preferences in a swing state Beyond their scale, distribution, and demographics, the impact of being a white evangelical on partisan issue preferences merits consideration. FixGov Election night?

Think again—election month might be more like it Elaine Kamarck. More on U.